It is hard to comprehend the damage done by COVID-19 since its emergence in late 2019. The number of deaths from COVID-19 globally is over 900,000 and the number of infections almost 30 million with no foreseeable end in sight. And our only known defense is that as individuals, we commit to protecting others.
Survival by cooperation is part of the folklore in many cultures. https://bit.ly/3itNmX7Â Â In its various forms, people are given spoons with Â handles so long they cannot feed themselves and learn that they must Â feed each other in order to survive.
Apparently we havenâ€™t learned the lesson.
As the Â COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread, Â the only weapons we have; hand washing, social distancing and face masks, are unevenly applied at best.
Social distancing is inconvenient and lonely, and as evidenced by the crowds on beaches, rallies and conventions, many do not believe itâ€™s important in spite of the Â spike in COVID rates that inevitably follows. FaceÂ masks are uncomfortable, hot, and some say, an infringement of rights. Â â€œBesides,â€ the argument goes, â€œface masks only protect others, Â not me. Â I donâ€™t have it, and neither do my friends!â€
There is a lesson from the introduction of seatbelts in the fifties and sixties. Â When they were introduced, many people refused to wear them in spite of overwhelming evidence that they saved lives, even after they were required by law, insisting they were restrictive, uncomfortable and unnecessary. Â In retrospect, this seems Â almost laughable. Â But the refusal to wear face masks and observe social distancing is no laughing matter. Â Itâ€™s reckless.
If I choose not to wear a seatbelt, my life is the only one at risk. But Â I can unknowingly carry the virus for a variety of reasons. Â So if I choose not to wear a mask, Â wash my hands or practice social distancing, I risk infecting everyone with whom I come in contact. Â And the virus quickly spreads through the community. https://bit.ly/3hCWKpW
But all this requires that I trust youÂ to protect me,Â something over which I have no control. â€œSo,â€ some argue, â€œwhy not just go about my life and wait for herd immunity. Â After all, if I get, it probably wonâ€™t be all that bad, and weâ€™ll all be done with it in a few months.â€œ
If only that could work. Â Unfortunately, that ship sailed.
Herd immunity occurs when enough individuals in a population have become immune to a disease to significantly decrease the risk of spreading it to others. However, almost 30 million people worldwide have now been diagnosed with COVID 19 and over 900,000 have died. If no preventive measures are taken, the infected people will infect the others and
https://bit.ly/2E5Uk5CÂ the disease will spread rapidly though the population. Â Ultimately the majority of the worldwide population will become infected, and millions Â will die. Â Moreover, even if a vaccine becomes available, many will refuse It. Â The combined results of unprotected exposure to the virus would be a catastrophic blow to worldwide medical systems and economies. Â Thankfully, we have the means at our disposal to prevent this.
But who can you trust? Â You can hear almost any point of view you like by choosing your channel. Â No wonder so many of us have turned off the news and given up on social media. The media serve a purpose but for scientific reliability, we have to trust the scientists.
Many looking to scientists for outcome predictions or black and white answers are disappointed when scientists canâ€™t provide them. Â Responsible scientists will not provide pat answers because science Â is hypothesis driven. Â Science can only prove what is not correct, not what is Â https://bit.ly/3iE8mKHÂ The research process is iterative; it doesnâ€™t follow a straight line. When we Â think about it, we apply the scientific method every day. Â For example, when I lose my keys, I find them by looking in Â the places they are not. Â I take a Â lot of time looking in a lot of Â wrong places before the lost is found.
Development of safe and effective vaccines and Â treatments for COVID is especially complex Â due to our lack of knowledge about this group of viruses. It takes time to build enough evidence to bring about effective treatments. Â Consider that decades were required to produce the cancer treatments we now consider routine.
In the case of COVID 19, the journey has only begun. Â Weâ€™re all in uncharted waters. Together.